German Intelligence: Iran Made 32 Attempts to Obtain Technology for Proliferation Programs
11 October, 2017, 00:31 | Author: Brenda Erickson
It is widely expected that Trump will not recertify Iran, saying it is no longer in the USA national interest, giving Congress 60 days to decide whether to reimpose sanctions. Enough public pressure could keep the agreement intact. Congress could then re-impose crippling sanctions, which will make the agreement collapse. Over the weekend, Iran warned the United States that US regional military bases would be at risk should further sanctions be imposed.
Q: How would Iran react if the US reimposed sanctions? At that time, Iran was within 30 days of producing several nuclear warheads.
Netanyahu singled out for criticism the deal's so-called sunset clause, which will lift limitations on Iran's nuclear program when the accord expires in over a decade.
- Shahir Shahidsaless is an Iranian-Canadian political analyst and freelance journalist writing about Iranian domestic and foreign affairs, the Middle East, and the United States foreign policy in the region.
Therefore, it is important that the elected king of America pay heed to senior officials' advice and consult Washington's Western allies, who are convinced that Tehran has been abiding by the deal's rules, before staging any political or strategic drama. They also knew there were limits to their unity and their leverage.
Iran reiterated on Tuesday its warning against new U.S. measures to blacklist the Revolutionary Guards, stressing that such move by Washington will lead the USA to join the terrorists' camp. But as previous negotiations with Iran have shown, coercion by itself is unlikely to work.
Trump, who has called the pact an "embarrassment" and "the worst deal ever negotiated", has been weighing whether it serves USA security interests as he faces an October 15 deadline for certifying that Iran is complying with its terms.
Trump can then legitimately claim that he has succeeded in beginning to renegotiate the nuclear agreement as he promised.
Iran has said if the deal is violated, the country will cease to comply with it and start enriching uranium above the level authorized by the deal.
The United States already blacklists some individuals and entities for supporting IRGC activities, but not the Guards themselves. The International Atomic Energy Agency and the U.S intelligence community will monitor Iran's nuclear commitments regardless.
U.S. President Donald Trump is set to deliver a speech on Iran this week in which he is expected to decline to certify Iran's compliance in the landmark 2015 agreement, referring it to Congress, and perhaps targeting the country's paramilitary Revolutionary Guard with new sanctions.
This president-led strategy still involves risks.
First of all, the [possible] decision to withdraw from the JCPOA agreement will weaken the trust of other nations and possibly isolate the United States.
Moscow and Beijing will oppose these moves.
As per the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) that Iran reached with the permanent members of Security Council and European Union in 2015, it should rein in nuclear activities and accept any additional restraints so that crippling sanctions on it could be waived.
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